onchain // not financial, spiritual, tax, legal or any other advice. do ya own research, you can't borrow conviction. prev research @messaricrypto
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Apr 27 ⢠7 tweets ⢠3 min read
1/ $LIKE
If itâs not all over, now is the time to be looking for highly asymmetric market opportunities.
I believe @JoinOnly1 presents such an opportunity.
Non advisory thoughts below:
Historically, adult content is always one of the first applications to succeed in new mediums: be it the magazine, the internet v1, streaming, and so on.
In addition to succeeding first, adult content platforms succeed big.
Mar 1 ⢠12 tweets ⢠6 min read
1/ The Real "Next L1 Trade": Memecoin Supercyle
The L1 trade was the best in crypto history.
The memecoin trade - popularized by @blknoiz06, @0xLawliette, @intuitio_ + others, is arguably the next.
Best memecoins to 20-500x from here, leaving the world in shock.2/ Historic Parallels
Back in 2016, @jmonegro authored the most profitable thesis in crypto history: "Fat Protocols"
Ethereum was ~$1b mc
Fast forward to 2018, and on the back of ETH's incredible 2017 run, a new class of "alt-L1s" launched at extremely reasonable valuations
Most, even early investors, faded them.
Study Multicoin's fellow early Solana investors, many of whom sold their SOL to Kyle and Tushar below 10-50c several times.
Those sellers experienced immense pain when SOL went to $1b MC -- just like the pain posters today who sold millions worth of WIF for the price of a two night stay at the Wynn.
Thing is, SOL went a lot higher than $1b.
The real pain was yet to come.
Similarly, today we see a world in which:
- Doge/Shiba ran last cycle leaving the world in disbelief
- A new class of alternative memecoins launched through 2022-2023 at very low valuations
- They melted faces with WIF and BONK going to 1b+ and many others
- Early buyers sold to higher conviction buyers for nothing
- Few outside of the highest conviction players seem to be betting on massive continuation at a venture scale from here
- Is the real pain yet to come?
Most here are eager to call tops, not 50xs.
Most VCs are sidelined, unable or unwilling to buy (barring a few early examples like @Rewkang buying TRUMP).
The intellectuals disdain or disregard the memes, not so unlike the disdain for L1s many years ago.
Jun 27, 2023 ⢠15 tweets ⢠5 min read
1/ @solana is the most contentious topic in all of crypto
some like, many hate
took a stab at reframing the narrative so that the many may reconsider
high level overview of 30 pages on sol below - including a direct comparison btwn sol & eth + intro valuation stuff for sol 2/ as bill "slick willy" clinton once said: itâs the costs, stupid
solanaâs state compression offers perpetually low asset issuance costs
afaik its the only way to run web2 biz models on chain without spending Masayoshi Son levels of cash
nobody else does this
Dec 15, 2022 ⢠23 tweets ⢠13 min read
1/ Despite being one of the most talked about ecosystems, the @solana ecosystem is also one of the most misunderstood.
We set out to understand the real state of the Solana ecosystem - the results of @JamesTrautman_ and Iâs analysis form our:
"Solana Ecosystem Overview" 𧾠2/ If you rely only on FUD or pure hopium, this thread probably isnât for you. If not, read on.
But first: special thanks to @0xMert_, @7LayerMagik, and many others for their feedback during the creation of this overview.
Aug 10, 2022 ⢠7 tweets ⢠4 min read
Is Opensea web3âs eBay? OS has been dominant, but disruption by unbundling may be on the horizon.
@natashajuliakim first introduced the argument in March - it has only grown stronger since.
Whatâs behind it? Join me inâŚ
âExploring the Unbundling Opensea Thesisâ
Short history of eBay for the other 12 yr olds here:
- Dominant marketplace for everything from 95 - 2013
- Individual categories on eBay targeted by specialized marketplaces
- Combined value of specialized marketplaces like AirBNB, Etsy, and others now worth more than eBay
Apr 19, 2022 ⢠8 tweets ⢠4 min read
We thought NFTs couldnât get more speculative.
Enter JPEGâd.
@JPEGd_69 is primed to launch a new peer-to-protocol NFT lending primitive.
The speed it brings could unlock the NFT lending market.
Fast Leverage + NFTs = đ¤Żđ¤Żđ¤Ż
1/8
As mentioned, JPEGâ features a peer-to-protocol mechanism design.
This comes with speed advantages over other NFT lending platforms, which have typically used peer-to-peer designs (h/t @nichanank)