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🧵YES. It is. I debunk this ridiculous piece in this thread.
1/ the lie (from the usual source):
1/ the lie (from the usual source):
2/ He conflates freshwater with potable water to get at his stat and leaves out gas turbine cooling in order to decrease the amount of water most AI datacenters require by about 70%.
3/ As an example, a planned AI datacenter in Ohio could consume about 100 million gals of POTABLE water per day.
Targets matter in fantasy football
Looking at last year's numbers + new info vs this year's ADP to find value picks:
Chris Olave (ADP WR 13) 2025 WR 8 in PPG. WR 5 in total targets.
The Saints are one of the NFL's fastest-paced offenses
QB play ⬆️
Minimal target competition
Looking at last year's numbers + new info vs this year's ADP to find value picks:
Chris Olave (ADP WR 13) 2025 WR 8 in PPG. WR 5 in total targets.
The Saints are one of the NFL's fastest-paced offenses
QB play ⬆️
Minimal target competition
Emeka Egbuka (ADP WR 18) 2025 WR 35 PPG. WR 9 in total targets.
Mike Evans is gone.
Chris Godwin is another year older.
Egbuka was top 20 in TPRR (0.26)
He was also top 25 in YPRR among all WRs lined up outside.
Mike Evans is gone.
Chris Godwin is another year older.
Egbuka was top 20 in TPRR (0.26)
He was also top 25 in YPRR among all WRs lined up outside.
Michael Wilson (ADP WR 39) 2025 WR 20 PPG. WR 10 in total targets.
Wilson was a stud with Jacoby Brissett under center and Marvin Harrison Jr. missing time.
Weeks 11-18 saw Wilson score less than 15 fantasy points just twice. He accounted for six receiving TDs in that span.
In that stretch, MH Jr. played in just three games and saw seven targets.
The big question fantasy players want to know is, can Wilson perform with Harrison Jr. in the lineup? If he can, he's a massive bargain at ADP.
Wilson was a stud with Jacoby Brissett under center and Marvin Harrison Jr. missing time.
Weeks 11-18 saw Wilson score less than 15 fantasy points just twice. He accounted for six receiving TDs in that span.
In that stretch, MH Jr. played in just three games and saw seven targets.
The big question fantasy players want to know is, can Wilson perform with Harrison Jr. in the lineup? If he can, he's a massive bargain at ADP.
In 1953, a 29-year-old lawyer got divorced. Lost his house. Lost everything.
A year later, his son was diagnosed with leukemia. Incurable.
He would hold his dying boy in the hospital. Then walk the streets of Pasadena crying.
His son died at 9. He was 31. Broke. Divorced. Burying his child.
He never turned to alcohol. He said: "Self-pity is always counterproductive."
He built a framework of mental models from every field. Said 80 models could solve nearly any problem in business or life.
Warren Buffett called him "the architect" of Berkshire Hathaway. Now worth $1 trillion.
His name was Charlie Munger. Died at 99. Worth $2.6 billion.
I turned his philosophy into 12 prompts.
Here are all 12:
A year later, his son was diagnosed with leukemia. Incurable.
He would hold his dying boy in the hospital. Then walk the streets of Pasadena crying.
His son died at 9. He was 31. Broke. Divorced. Burying his child.
He never turned to alcohol. He said: "Self-pity is always counterproductive."
He built a framework of mental models from every field. Said 80 models could solve nearly any problem in business or life.
Warren Buffett called him "the architect" of Berkshire Hathaway. Now worth $1 trillion.
His name was Charlie Munger. Died at 99. Worth $2.6 billion.
I turned his philosophy into 12 prompts.
Here are all 12:
1. Inversion Thinking
Munger borrowed a line from the mathematician Jacobi: "Invert, always invert." Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to fail. Then avoid those things. He applied this to every decision at Berkshire Hathaway. As he put it: "All I want to know is where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there." Most people chase success. Munger systematically eliminated stupidity.
PROMPT-
"I'm facing a major decision and I want to avoid catastrophic mistakes. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Inversion Thinking framework, analyze my position:
1. Instead of asking how this succeeds, what are the top 3 ways this could fail or blow up? Munger said to invert the problem first.
2. What would a fool do in my position? What is the most common path to disaster for someone in my exact situation?
3. What am I assuming will go right that I have no control over? Which of those assumptions, if wrong, would be fatal?
4. If I were advising my worst enemy to destroy themselves in this situation, what would I tell them to do? Am I doing any of those things?
5. Give me one specific action I can take this week to eliminate the single biggest risk you identified above."
Munger borrowed a line from the mathematician Jacobi: "Invert, always invert." Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to fail. Then avoid those things. He applied this to every decision at Berkshire Hathaway. As he put it: "All I want to know is where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there." Most people chase success. Munger systematically eliminated stupidity.
PROMPT-
"I'm facing a major decision and I want to avoid catastrophic mistakes. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Inversion Thinking framework, analyze my position:
1. Instead of asking how this succeeds, what are the top 3 ways this could fail or blow up? Munger said to invert the problem first.
2. What would a fool do in my position? What is the most common path to disaster for someone in my exact situation?
3. What am I assuming will go right that I have no control over? Which of those assumptions, if wrong, would be fatal?
4. If I were advising my worst enemy to destroy themselves in this situation, what would I tell them to do? Am I doing any of those things?
5. Give me one specific action I can take this week to eliminate the single biggest risk you identified above."
2. The Latticework Method
Munger's signature concept. He said you need a "latticework of mental models" drawn from every major discipline. Psychology, physics, biology, economics, history.
In his 1994 USC speech he explained: "80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person."
One model gives you a hammer. A latticework gives you the whole toolbox.
PROMPT-
"I'm trying to solve a complex problem and I need to think across multiple disciplines. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Latticework Method, analyze my position:
1. What are the 3 most relevant mental models from different fields (psychology, economics, biology, physics, history) that apply to my situation? Name each model and explain how it maps.
2. Where am I using only one mental model like a hammer looking for nails? What am I missing because of my single-discipline lens?
3. Munger said 80 to 90 models cover 90% of problems. Which models from my blind spots would change my entire analysis if I applied them?
4. What historical parallel from a completely different field matches my situation? What happened there, and what does it predict for me?
5. Give me one specific way to combine two of these models this week to produce an insight I could not get from either one alone."
Munger's signature concept. He said you need a "latticework of mental models" drawn from every major discipline. Psychology, physics, biology, economics, history.
In his 1994 USC speech he explained: "80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person."
One model gives you a hammer. A latticework gives you the whole toolbox.
PROMPT-
"I'm trying to solve a complex problem and I need to think across multiple disciplines. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Latticework Method, analyze my position:
1. What are the 3 most relevant mental models from different fields (psychology, economics, biology, physics, history) that apply to my situation? Name each model and explain how it maps.
2. Where am I using only one mental model like a hammer looking for nails? What am I missing because of my single-discipline lens?
3. Munger said 80 to 90 models cover 90% of problems. Which models from my blind spots would change my entire analysis if I applied them?
4. What historical parallel from a completely different field matches my situation? What happened there, and what does it predict for me?
5. Give me one specific way to combine two of these models this week to produce an insight I could not get from either one alone."
NEW: @jessesingal with new revelations, based on FOIAs, about the Johanna Olson-Kennedy-led, @NIH-funded ($10m) research initiative on pediatric gender medicine. 🧵
NIH was misled with help from @wpath and @TheEndoSociety.
NIH was misled with help from @wpath and @TheEndoSociety.
Olson-Kennedy and her colleagues intended to study the effects of puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones in minors.
NIH initially "expressed qualms" about the proposed study being observational rather experimental. Singal explains the difference, and why it matters.
NIH initially "expressed qualms" about the proposed study being observational rather experimental. Singal explains the difference, and why it matters.
With support from @wpath and @TheEndoSociety, however, Olson-Kennedy told NIH that the treatments are known to work and that withholding them (i.e., having a control group) would be unethical.
OK - now at presser by U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton, NYPD Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch and Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI New York Field Office James Barnacle "to brief the media on recent cases" - Inner City Press will live tweet, thread below
1:03 pm
Commish Tisch: I want to thank Jay Clayton... The extremist who moves to real-world danger, those cases demand more than one office. The World Cup and 250th Anniversary of our country is coming. We partner, as we'll discuss
Commish Tisch: I want to thank Jay Clayton... The extremist who moves to real-world danger, those cases demand more than one office. The World Cup and 250th Anniversary of our country is coming. We partner, as we'll discuss
Commish Tisch: NYPD does the work on the ground, SDNY prosecutes on Federal charges. We have acting on guns from South Carolina. I began my career building out the NYPD's counter-terrorism work. Just last week, the defendant brought in from Iraq...
Kerkhoff v. Blaze Media LLC
Steve Baker, Joseph Hanneman, and their company Veritas Regnat LLC have failed to respond to the libel and slander lawsuit brought against them over their erroneous claims that former Capitol Police officer Shauni Kerkhoff was responsible for the J5 Pipe Bombs.
The judge has ordered the clerk to file an entry of default against them and for the plaintiffs to file a motion for default judgment.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Steve Baker, Joseph Hanneman, and their company Veritas Regnat LLC have failed to respond to the libel and slander lawsuit brought against them over their erroneous claims that former Capitol Police officer Shauni Kerkhoff was responsible for the J5 Pipe Bombs.
The judge has ordered the clerk to file an entry of default against them and for the plaintiffs to file a motion for default judgment.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Blaze Media, which was also sued, has filed an unopposed motion for more time to respond to the suit. The judge gave them until June 11, 2026.
In public responses to the lawsuit, Baker has put on a "bring it on!" act, as if he were eager to fight it, to show what evidence he supposedly has, and to use the discovery process to expose some conspiracy to frame Brian J. Cole for the J5 pipe bombs when all along it was Shauni Kerkhoff who planted them as part of a sinister "fedsurrection" plot... or something.
x.com/realjusthuman/…
x.com/realjusthuman/…
Budanov: Russia is building a digital ghetto.
It wants to control people, complicate Ukrainian intelligence work, and prepare society for serious decisions that may be unpopular or hard to explain. That is why it cuts off alternative information. 1/
It wants to control people, complicate Ukrainian intelligence work, and prepare society for serious decisions that may be unpopular or hard to explain. That is why it cuts off alternative information. 1/
Budanov: Russia is replacing reality. In Moscow, there is a whole “museum of Ukrainian Nazism.”
It has nothing to do with reality, but it is built logically and professionally. A person who sees it can believe it — that is the danger. 2/
It has nothing to do with reality, but it is built logically and professionally. A person who sees it can believe it — that is the danger. 2/
Budanov: Civil resistance under occupation must continue.
Every Ukrainian flag, every sign, every act is a connection with identity, state, history, culture and tradition. It is risky, but without it there will be full colonization. 3/
Every Ukrainian flag, every sign, every act is a connection with identity, state, history, culture and tradition. It is risky, but without it there will be full colonization. 3/
@AlexRMcColl @Prominent_Bryan strawman, basically all walking distance areas within transit transit are developed to condos not townhouses
We are talking about places 15 min *drive* from train stations or unis
We are talking about places 15 min *drive* from train stations or unis
@AlexRMcColl @Prominent_Bryan I've managed a lot of files where it's small condos without dedicated parking as long as it is within a rapid transit thing
What is the issue is when the developer gets greedy and then tries the same in areas without
What is the issue is when the developer gets greedy and then tries the same in areas without
@AlexRMcColl @Prominent_Bryan there's an informational asymmetry thing - given the GP / LP structure for most developments you can have LP in the dark about this who committed their $ to a white elephant 🐘 project
We used the keyword "process server" 68 times on one page
People hear that and assume its keyword stuffing. Its not
If you actually look at what ranks on page one of Google, the top results are using their target keyword hundreds of times. Sometimes thousands. Most businesses are still under-using their keyword on their own pages because some blog 10 years ago told them to keep it under 5
People hear that and assume its keyword stuffing. Its not
If you actually look at what ranks on page one of Google, the top results are using their target keyword hundreds of times. Sometimes thousands. Most businesses are still under-using their keyword on their own pages because some blog 10 years ago told them to keep it under 5
But the keyword count isnt the only thing we did
We also added geographic keywords. Fort Worth, Texas. Specifically. In the body. In the headers. In the meta. So Google knows exactly where this client serves
If someone in Fort Worth searches for a process server, Google has a hundred ways of figuring out who in that area to show them. The page that explicitly says "Fort Worth, Texas" in the right places is going to come up before the page that just says "process server" with no location
And then we added the license number on the page
We also added geographic keywords. Fort Worth, Texas. Specifically. In the body. In the headers. In the meta. So Google knows exactly where this client serves
If someone in Fort Worth searches for a process server, Google has a hundred ways of figuring out who in that area to show them. The page that explicitly says "Fort Worth, Texas" in the right places is going to come up before the page that just says "process server" with no location
And then we added the license number on the page
Two reasons. The first is for the visitor. Someone landing on the page can see this is an actually licensed business. Thats a trust signal that takes 5 seconds to register and removes one objection before they even ask
The second is for Google. Google reads everything on the page. When it sees a license number formatted correctly, thats another data point telling it this is a real, verified business. Not just a marketing page hoping to rank
Three things
Keyword frequency. Geographic specificity. License number
None of these are exotic SEO tactics. Theyre things most agencies skip because they sound boring
Our clients rank because we do the boring things while everyone else is looking for shortcuts
if you want this run on your business, drop your site in the comments or message us
The second is for Google. Google reads everything on the page. When it sees a license number formatted correctly, thats another data point telling it this is a real, verified business. Not just a marketing page hoping to rank
Three things
Keyword frequency. Geographic specificity. License number
None of these are exotic SEO tactics. Theyre things most agencies skip because they sound boring
Our clients rank because we do the boring things while everyone else is looking for shortcuts
if you want this run on your business, drop your site in the comments or message us
movie about world where fake is illegal??
dude reviews movies??
@threadreaderapp unroll
In 1953, a 29-year-old lawyer got divorced. Lost his house. Lost everything.
A year later, his son was diagnosed with leukemia. Incurable.
He would hold his dying boy in the hospital. Then walk the streets of Pasadena crying.
His son died at 9. He was 31. Broke. Divorced. Burying his child.
He never turned to alcohol. He said: "Self-pity is always counterproductive."
He built a framework of mental models from every field. Said 80 models could solve nearly any problem in business or life.
Warren Buffett called him "the architect" of Berkshire Hathaway. Now worth $1 trillion.
His name was Charlie Munger. Died at 99. Worth $2.6 billion.
I turned his philosophy into 12 prompts.
Here are all 12:
A year later, his son was diagnosed with leukemia. Incurable.
He would hold his dying boy in the hospital. Then walk the streets of Pasadena crying.
His son died at 9. He was 31. Broke. Divorced. Burying his child.
He never turned to alcohol. He said: "Self-pity is always counterproductive."
He built a framework of mental models from every field. Said 80 models could solve nearly any problem in business or life.
Warren Buffett called him "the architect" of Berkshire Hathaway. Now worth $1 trillion.
His name was Charlie Munger. Died at 99. Worth $2.6 billion.
I turned his philosophy into 12 prompts.
Here are all 12:
1. Inversion Thinking
Munger borrowed a line from the mathematician Jacobi: "Invert, always invert." Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to fail. Then avoid those things. He applied this to every decision at Berkshire Hathaway. As he put it: "All I want to know is where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there." Most people chase success. Munger systematically eliminated stupidity.
PROMPT-
"I'm facing a major decision and I want to avoid catastrophic mistakes. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Inversion Thinking framework, analyze my position:
1. Instead of asking how this succeeds, what are the top 3 ways this could fail or blow up? Munger said to invert the problem first.
2. What would a fool do in my position? What is the most common path to disaster for someone in my exact situation?
3. What am I assuming will go right that I have no control over? Which of those assumptions, if wrong, would be fatal?
4. If I were advising my worst enemy to destroy themselves in this situation, what would I tell them to do? Am I doing any of those things?
5. Give me one specific action I can take this week to eliminate the single biggest risk you identified above."
Munger borrowed a line from the mathematician Jacobi: "Invert, always invert." Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to fail. Then avoid those things. He applied this to every decision at Berkshire Hathaway. As he put it: "All I want to know is where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there." Most people chase success. Munger systematically eliminated stupidity.
PROMPT-
"I'm facing a major decision and I want to avoid catastrophic mistakes. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Inversion Thinking framework, analyze my position:
1. Instead of asking how this succeeds, what are the top 3 ways this could fail or blow up? Munger said to invert the problem first.
2. What would a fool do in my position? What is the most common path to disaster for someone in my exact situation?
3. What am I assuming will go right that I have no control over? Which of those assumptions, if wrong, would be fatal?
4. If I were advising my worst enemy to destroy themselves in this situation, what would I tell them to do? Am I doing any of those things?
5. Give me one specific action I can take this week to eliminate the single biggest risk you identified above."
2. The Latticework Method
Munger's signature concept. He said you need a "latticework of mental models" drawn from every major discipline. Psychology, physics, biology, economics, history.
In his 1994 USC speech he explained: "80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person."
One model gives you a hammer. A latticework gives you the whole toolbox.
PROMPT-
"I'm trying to solve a complex problem and I need to think across multiple disciplines. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Latticework Method, analyze my position:
1. What are the 3 most relevant mental models from different fields (psychology, economics, biology, physics, history) that apply to my situation? Name each model and explain how it maps.
2. Where am I using only one mental model like a hammer looking for nails? What am I missing because of my single-discipline lens?
3. Munger said 80 to 90 models cover 90% of problems. Which models from my blind spots would change my entire analysis if I applied them?
4. What historical parallel from a completely different field matches my situation? What happened there, and what does it predict for me?
5. Give me one specific way to combine two of these models this week to produce an insight I could not get from either one alone."
Munger's signature concept. He said you need a "latticework of mental models" drawn from every major discipline. Psychology, physics, biology, economics, history.
In his 1994 USC speech he explained: "80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person."
One model gives you a hammer. A latticework gives you the whole toolbox.
PROMPT-
"I'm trying to solve a complex problem and I need to think across multiple disciplines. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Latticework Method, analyze my position:
1. What are the 3 most relevant mental models from different fields (psychology, economics, biology, physics, history) that apply to my situation? Name each model and explain how it maps.
2. Where am I using only one mental model like a hammer looking for nails? What am I missing because of my single-discipline lens?
3. Munger said 80 to 90 models cover 90% of problems. Which models from my blind spots would change my entire analysis if I applied them?
4. What historical parallel from a completely different field matches my situation? What happened there, and what does it predict for me?
5. Give me one specific way to combine two of these models this week to produce an insight I could not get from either one alone."
In 2018 Zucman published a paper in a top econ journal that inadvertently revealed the total federal/state/local tax rate of the top 0.001% was ~40%.
A year later, he realized this undermined his wealth tax. So he fudged the stats to fit his politics.
A year later, he realized this undermined his wealth tax. So he fudged the stats to fit his politics.
Details and receipts here, including how I caught Zucman initially trying to hide the old stats off his website.
philmagness.com/2019/10/someth…
philmagness.com/2019/10/someth…
And here is a longer academic journal article I wrote about this episode, including digging into what Zucman altered to put his thumb on the statistical scale. independent.org/wp-content/upl…
